Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 5.954111 6.545949 7.198479 7.976487 8.885745 9.923429 11.209884
2024-10-27 4.938565 5.703291 6.612671 7.792970 9.314091 11.252637 13.987621
2024-11-03 4.390820 5.231831 6.282279 7.726609 9.722729 12.488568 16.824265
2024-11-10 4.197102 5.143817 6.380687 8.176890 10.836731 14.856977 21.942172
2024-11-17 3.953749 4.949937 6.297176 8.340147 11.541859 16.757403 26.996611
2024-11-24 3.659598 4.651636 6.026993 8.180041 11.702315 17.788665 30.864787
2024-12-01 3.448496 4.445723 5.860969 8.145142 12.043114 19.195512 36.127076
2024-12-08 3.229165 4.208311 5.623209 7.962216 12.091381 20.054515 40.573131
2024-12-15 3.074557 4.051521 5.489788 7.927820 12.390461 21.481169 47.328718
2024-12-22 2.935104 3.906150 5.359758 7.880649 12.652601 22.896481 55.081154
2024-12-29 2.865356 3.859114 5.377237 8.085281 13.433703 25.729636 70.167757
2025-01-05 2.711509 3.674036 5.159729 7.848724 13.279248 26.236059 77.007660
2025-01-12 2.546313 3.472232 4.917141 7.573227 13.068263 26.728776 85.545070
2025-01-19 2.412467 3.313494 4.737151 7.401214 13.069885 27.871533 99.716701
2025-01-26 2.311675 3.200160 4.623312 7.339689 13.306331 29.804038 122.948471
2025-02-02 2.300986 3.228647 4.750027 7.756562 14.749423 36.290698 205.018142
2025-02-09 2.247142 3.183185 4.744220 7.907495 15.584435 41.326802 315.985767
2025-02-16 2.152857 3.065629 4.602032 7.759477 15.610629 43.297384 408.985970
2025-02-23 2.082558 2.984197 4.518897 7.727198 15.947559 46.860124 607.125950
2025-03-02 1.998443 2.875393 4.379005 7.557922 15.867912 48.533877 813.926394
2025-03-09 1.938683 2.804941 4.305068 7.526078 16.184491 52.457823 1383.211487
2025-03-16 1.881388 2.735929 4.229367 7.482397 16.460040 56.485209 2678.893425
2025-03-23 1.856627 2.721481 4.254824 7.671819 17.512585 66.279012 19117.031160